2026 data · two saving rates · the years, ranked

Published July 30, 2026 · Zillow home values June 2026

How long does it take to save a down payment? Every state, ranked

Every "save for a house" plan quietly assumes a saving rate. This table uses two honest ones: the rate Americans actually average 2.7% of income, per the Bureau of Economic Analysis — and a disciplined 10%. Divide a 20% down payment on the typical home (June 2026 Zillow values) by each, in every state, and the ranking writes itself.

The headline: at the average saving rate, a 20% down payment takes 34.6 years of saving in the median state — from 24.2 years in West Virginia to 65 in Hawaii, with 33 of 51 jurisdictions over the 30-year mark. Saving 10% instead collapses the median to 9.3 years — the two columns are the whole argument for a written savings plan. Or skip the medians and run your own number.

All 50 states + DC, ranked by years at the average saving rate

"At 2.7%" = the BEA average American saving rate. "At 10%" = a disciplined benchmark. Both applied to each state's median household income. Full methodology below the table.

RankStateYears at 2.7%Years at 10%20% down
1Hawaii65.017.6$167,348
2California60.116.2$155,110
3Massachusetts49.913.5$134,573
4Montana49.813.4$95,223
5Idaho47.712.9$96,440
6New York47.512.8$105,189
7Washington47.212.8$120,661
8Oregon46.612.6$100,886
9Rhode Island45.112.2$103,416
10Nevada43.511.7$89,643
11New Jersey43.411.7$116,936
12Colorado43.311.7$108,687
13Utah43.011.6$108,338
14Maine42.611.5$84,821
15Arizona40.510.9$84,564
16New Hampshire40.010.8$104,589
17District of Columbia39.710.7$115,866
18New Mexico38.210.3$64,237
19Florida38.210.3$75,625
20Wyoming38.110.3$74,505
21Delaware37.510.1$82,450
22Tennessee37.110.0$67,754
23Connecticut36.89.9$91,085
24Vermont36.79.9$80,403
25North Carolina35.69.6$68,086
26Virginia34.69.3$83,984
27Alaska34.39.2$80,132
28Wisconsin34.09.2$68,456
29South Carolina33.89.1$61,865
30South Dakota33.69.1$65,124
31Georgia33.39.0$67,072
32Maryland32.78.8$87,221
33Minnesota31.18.4$71,377
34Texas29.68.0$60,600
35Pennsylvania29.58.0$58,820
36Missouri29.47.9$54,319
37Michigan28.97.8$53,994
38Arkansas28.97.8$45,732
39Alabama28.87.8$48,303
40Kentucky28.57.7$47,073
41North Dakota28.47.7$58,711
42Nebraska28.27.6$56,893
43Indiana28.07.5$52,453
44Louisiana27.77.5$43,594
45Illinois27.67.4$59,774
46Ohio27.57.4$50,300
47Mississippi27.17.3$39,686
48Oklahoma26.97.3$45,087
49Kansas26.67.2$50,559
50Iowa25.06.8$48,251
51West Virginia24.26.5$36,541

Home values: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical home value (35th-65th percentile, smoothed, seasonally adjusted), state level, June 2026 — Zillow Research public data (zillow.com/research ↗), identical to our salary-needed table. Incomes: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2023 1-year estimates, table B19013 (median household income by state) (census.gov ↗). Saving rate: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, personal saving rate, June 2026 (2.7% of disposable personal income) (bea.gov ↗).

Download the data (CSV) — free to reuse with attribution (CC BY 4.0). Suggested citation: "FIManager analysis of Zillow ZHVI, Census ACS, and BEA saving-rate data, fimanager.app/how-long-to-save-a-down-payment-by-state."

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Methodology — a simple model, stated honestly

What the columns measure, why the model is deliberately simple, and which way each simplification leans.

The model

Years = 20% of the typical home ÷ (median income × saving rate) — test-enforced.

The down payment is 20% of Zillow's typical home value for the state (June 2026) — the same values as our salary-needed table, and our tests assert the two pages cannot disagree.

The saving is the state's median household income (Census ACS 2023) times a saving rate: BEA's 2.7% national average in the headline column, and 10% in the disciplined column. Years is simply one divided by the other; our test suite recomputes every row. And before any rate assumption: the target itself is big — 20% down equals about 11 months of the median state's entire gross household income (21 months in Hawaii).

Why the model is imperfect — and which way it leans

Five honest caveats, each with its direction.

  • Prices move while you save. The table freezes June 2026 values; if homes keep appreciating, the target grows as you chase it — the years shown are understated.
  • Savings can earn returns. The model banks cash with zero growth; invested savings compound — that leans the other way, making the years overstated. These first two partially offset, which is why we kept the model simple instead of pretending to know both curves.
  • Gross vs. disposable income. BEA's rate is a share of after-tax income; we apply it to gross ACS income, which credits savers with more dollars than the rate implies — the years shown are, if anything, understated.
  • The average isn't the aspiring buyer. The 2.7% average includes households not saving for anything; motivated buyers save harder. BEA's figure is also a national aggregate, not a median household's rate — most saving is done by higher-income households, so the typical household likely saves less than 2.7%, which again understates the years. That's exactly what the 10% column is for — read them as a range, not a verdict.
  • The down payment isn't the whole bill. Closing costs, moving, and reserves come on top — the true wait is longer than either column.

FAQ

Why does saving a down payment take decades in this table?
Because the headline column uses the saving rate Americans actually average 2.7% of income per the Bureau of Economic Analysis — not the rate personal-finance advice assumes. At 2.7%, a 20% down payment on the typical home takes over 30 years in 33 of 51 jurisdictions. The second column shows the same math at a disciplined 10%, where the median state drops to about 9 years. The gap between the two columns is the honest story: the down payment is achievable, but not at autopilot saving levels.
Do I really need 20% down?
No. Conventional loans go as low as 3% down and FHA 3.5%, at the cost of PMI and a bigger loan. 20% is the classic no-PMI benchmark, which is why this table prices it — but dividing any target by your real monthly saving gives your own timeline. Our free calculator runs the full lender math on your numbers.
How are the years computed?
Years = (20% of the state's typical home value) ÷ (median household income × the saving rate). Home values are Zillow's June 2026 typical home value — identical to our salary-needed table, enforced by tests. Incomes are Census ACS 2023 medians. The saving rates are BEA's 2.7% average and a 10% benchmark. The model is deliberately simple; the methodology section states which way each simplification leans.
How long will it take me?
Statewide medians can't see your income, rent, or target home. Divide your target down payment by what you actually bank each year — or run the full affordability math with the free calculator. No signup, and your numbers never leave your browser.

Run the numbers yourself

Educational estimate, not advice. This table divides one published number by another at the state level. Your market, your income, and your saving rate set the real timeline — that's what the calculator is for.

FIManager provides financial planning tools and projections for educational purposes. Projections are estimates based on assumptions you set and are not guarantees or personalized investment, tax, or legal advice.